Now that 4 more teams have been eliminated (VP, EHOME, LGD and Newbee) the tournament is getting tougher. It only took 2 days for the Chinese teams to be thrown out of the tournament, even though they were playing in their home country. This is something nobody saw coming; from EHOME never making it to the Upper Bracket to Complexity eliminating one of the strongest teams (LGD), this Major is showing how the competitive Dota scene is shifting. Now SEA is doing much better than China; Fnatic eliminated the last remaining Chinese team (Newbee) and MVP Phoenix is still in the Upper Bracket. This day will show us if the Koreans have the ability of making it to the Upper Bracket Finals by beating one of the strongest opponents they’ve faced in this Major. The big question we have to ask is: will MVPP and Fnatic make SEA replace China as the strongest Asian region?
Main Event Day 3 – Upper Bracket Predictions
Day 3 – Match #1: Liquid vs. MVP Phoenix
Team Liquid didn’t seem like they were going to have a great run in this Major, but even though all the Chinese teams are out—most of them were considered stronger than the German lineup—, Liquid are still in a strong position and are already finishing at least top 6-5. They managed to win against one of the favorite European teams coming to this major 2-1 (Alliance) even though it wasn’t that easy for them in the Group Stage. Liquid still needs to show they can beat the best teams and MVPP is already becoming one of the major threats here, so it won’t be an easy game for them.
MVP Phoenix started as one of the underdogs and still managed to win against really important teams in the Group Stage and later in the Upper Bracket. These guys prepared really well for this Major and nobody saw it coming. This is why this team is now becoming a serious problem for the biggest teams; they were too busy worrying about lineups like EHOME, OG, EG and VG to even care about this Korean squad. Now MVPP has serious chances of finishing top 2.
This Liquid lineup has never fought against a Korean team, and MVPP is becoming a lineup that can achieve anything. They started beating EHOME and Secret 2-0 in both series. This shows they can win against a team like Liquid. When a team that wasn’t considered an important threat starts beating everybody else, they often end up winning the entire tournament because no one prepared against them. MVP Phoenix might be able to win this series fairly easy.
>> Result Prediction: 2-1 MVP Phoenix
Day 3 – Match #2: EG vs. Secret
We had some doubts that EG were going to be able to beat Fnatic since the SEA teams suddenly began to beat everybody. However, they showed they are still one of the best lineups in the world. Even fighting against a strong team they rarely play with wasn’t enough to throw them off, so they took the series 2-0. EG is yet to show weakness in this Major after winning every series they had.
Secret weren’t one of the favorites when they started in this tournament, but they are now finishing top 6-5 at least. They won against teams like EHOME and OG even though they were looking much weaker than them previously to this tournament. The main reason why they are doing so great is that Puppey is truly outdrafting everybody. He’s been doing an excellent job as a captain and this aspect is the strongest in Secret right now.
Something we need to take into account is that Secret is going to play this game with a level 3 penalty. It seems that they called GG in the game chat too early before OG called it. The Shanghai Major organizers decided to give them a penalty that consists in not having reserve time in their drafts against EG. This gives EG—and a captain like PPD—a huge advantage. Puppey will need to decide hero picks too fast and it’s more probable they will get outdrafted because of this. EG surely has the upper hand here.
>> Result Prediction: 2-1 EG
Main Event Day 3 – Lower Bracket Predictions:
Day 3 – Match #3: Alliance vs. Complexity
Alliance is still one of the teams that have good chances of winning this tournament. They might have come to this tournament too confident and were thrown off by Liquid because of this, so they are ought not to make the same mistake again in this game. Alliance’s strong point is their ability to draw the game long enough to overwhelm the enemy by split pushing and outfarming them. To beat Alliance, their opponent must be clear in what they’re doing and cohesion is essential to be able to beat them—altogether with proper drafting.
Complexity has already made it farther that most people expected. We knew that the fact they started in the Lower Bracket wasn’t because they weren’t up to the challenge of this Major, but rather because they had to compete in the toughest group. They have already eliminated Spirit and LGD, but are now facing their toughest game yet in this tournament.
Alliance played with this lineup when they won Ti3, and even though they took a break and made some roster changes, they are back and they have good experience playing together. On the other hand, Complexity has a fairly new lineup that has a lot of potential, but lacks experience. The good news is that this is the first Bo3 series in the Lower Bracket, so the chances of winning for the NA team are higher. Still, Alliance has a clear advantage.
>> Result Prediction: 2-1 Alliance
Day 3 – Shanghai Major 2016 – Betting Odds
*.) Odds may have changed by now – no guarantee! The predictions are the opinion of the author.
About The Author:
Predictions by Will ‘WilDS’ De Sousa, E-sports Journalist and Dota player since 2010. Contact Will‘ WilDS’ De Sousa on Twitter!