After an important streak of delays and sound problems, the first day of the Main Event is over. Beside these ungrateful surprises, more interesting things happened in this first day. Liquid managed to win against Alliance in what seems their Meta game. This has shown that Alliance is still another team that can be crushed if you find their weakness. Also, MVP Phoenix sent the only Chinese team in the Upper Bracket to the bottom and 4 teams were eliminated (Team Archon, Spirit, VG and CDEC). Day 2 will consist of 2 Upper Bracket games and the last Bo1 Lower Bracket round that will finish with 4 more teams getting eliminated. Let’s see what we can expect in these matches:
Main Event Day 2 – Upper Bracket Predictions
Day 2 – Match #1: OG vs. Team Secret
Even though Team Secret came to this tournament in the middle of a downfall, they managed to win a place in the Upper Bracket by defeating CDEC and the favorite team EHOME. This means that Secret can still get it together and pull some really good games under the commandment of a great captain like Puppey—he was the biggest start in those games after all.
On the other hand, the guys from OG were the stars of the first Major. They had a rough time in the Group Stage of that tournament but still managed to finish as champions without losing a single series after that. They won against EG and Secret on the same day—in a Bo3 and Bo5 series. Since these guys can win such an important tournament that way, they certainly can win this Winter Major by starting in the Upper Bracket.
Secret beating both Chinese teams in the Group Stage looks really good on paper, but we must bear in mind that these two teams didn’t play very well to begin with. This doesn’t mean that Secret is not going to finish in a good place; they were in a tougher group than OG and still managed to get a spot in the Upper Bracket. Nevertheless, we must go for OG in this match since they’ve been doing much better lately and are still playing as good as they did in the Frankfurt Major—where they won the tournament after starting in the Lower Bracket.
>> Result Prediction: 2-1 OG
Day 2 – Match #2: EG vs. Fnatic
EG has been finishing in at least the top 2 places in most recent tournaments, even although there’s been almost a year since they won Ti5. This means that these guys are in pretty good shape. They are still the top players in the world and they know how to play as a team.
On the other hand, Fnatic lacks experience, but this hasn’t stopped other teams previously. For example, MVP Phoenix is doing really well and they have just as much experience—in fact Fnatic has the advantage in this matter since they got veteran Mushi as a captain. They did really well in the Group Stage just like MVPP, so the SEA region is becoming relevant in the competitive scene as the tournament continues.
This is quite an interesting match to watch. Fnatic is going to show us here if the rumors about this being the year of SEA are truth. If Fnatic wins this game, we can say that the possibilities of a SEA team winning this tournament are quite high; MVPP has already beaten the tournament favorite, now it’s time for Fnatic to do the same. Nevertheless, we can’t predict Fnatic is going to win this against a team like EG. It’s almost a shame that they have to play against such an important team so early in the tournament, but the chance of winning does exist—something we wouldn’t have said a week ago.
>> Result Prediction: 2-1 EG
Main Event Day 2 – Lower Bracket Predictions:
Day 2 – Match #3: Alliance vs. EHOME
Alliance was looking really great in the Group Stage, and still looked very well in the Upper Bracket. Unfortunately, Team Liquid took them off guard. The German team wasn’t considered as one of the most important contesters coming to this tournament, but now they are. Now Alliance needs to step up their game if they don’t want to be eliminated.
EHOME didn’t play very well in the Group Stage; they only won the series against the weakest team in the group (CDEC). This is something really bad since they were the favorite team and nobody expected them to lose against teams like MVP Phoenix and Secret. They are yet to show that they did prepare for this tournament and can still play as good as they did before coming to Shanghai.
These Bo1 matches will depend on how one team is able to throw off the other in the first game. Cheesy strategies and being unpredictable is going to be essential in this game, and Alliance has shown in the past better drafts that can really deceive and destroy their opponent easily. This is going to be the most important thing in this game, and Chinese teams aren’t known for being particularly innovative in Bo1 games.
>> Result Prediction: 1-0 Alliance
Day 2 – Match #4: LGD vs. Complexity
LGD was the sole Chinese team in the Upper Bracket and it didn’t last for long. They lost 2-0 against the Koreans MVP Phoenix and dropped to Lower Bracket in the first round. Now they’re facing one of the strongest teams in North America in a Bo1 that could throw them out of the tournament.
Complexity had really bad luck because they had to face the toughest group. This is the main reason they are in Lower Bracket, as there is a lot of potential in them. However, they are yet to show they can win against a big team, and LGD is one of them.
This isn’t going to be an easy team for LGD, and things could get out of control pretty quickly against an aggressive team like Complexity. Still, they are playing in their own country and have shown more consistency than the North Americans. This is their game to take.
>> Result Prediction: 1-0 LGD
Day 2 – Shanghai Major 2016 – Betting Odds
*.) Odds may have changed by now – no guarantee! The predictions are the opinion of the author.
About The Author:
Predictions by Will ‘WilDS’ De Sousa, E-sports Journalist and Dota player since 2010. Contact Will‘ WilDS’ De Sousa on Twitter!